60% Chance Of Rain Today

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slo-ride

slo-ride
Joined
May 19, 2008
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Location
Conyers, GA
The weather man is calling for a 60% chance of rain today. Is that enough to keep me off my bike? Let's look at the facts:

(1) I have a rain suit.

(2) A 60% chance of rain = a 40% chance of sun.

(3) The weather man is correct only 1/2 the time so there's really only a 30% chance of rain.

(4) The rain is hit or miss (50%) so depending on where I am I might not even see the rain so the actual chances of me getting wet are 30% x 50% = 15%.

(5) I'll be moving fast and everyone knows that it is difficult to hit a moving target so the rain that falls may never touch me. Hit or miss again so my new, improved, actual chance of getting wet is 15% x 50% = 7.5%.

(6) So, for the 7.5% chance of me getting wet - I'll refer back to item #1.

Vrrrrrm Vrmmmm Vrmmmmmmm!

 
Good to see the Weatherman up here isn't the only one practicing this type of deceptive ****.

I'm about ready to head off to a "fun run", show, an hog roast and it looks like rain. :angry2:

Guess I'd better stow the gear today.

:jester:

 
The weather man is calling for a 60% chance of rain today. Is that enough to keep me off my bike? Let's look at the facts:
(1) I have a rain suit.

(2) A 60% chance of rain = a 40% chance of sun.

(3) The weather man is correct only 1/2 the time so there's really only a 30% chance of rain.

(4) The rain is hit or miss (50%) so depending on where I am I might not even see the rain so the actual chances of me getting wet are 30% x 50% = 15%.

(5) I'll be moving fast and everyone knows that it is difficult to hit a moving target so the rain that falls may never touch me. Hit or miss again so my new, improved, actual chance of getting wet is 15% x 50% = 7.5%.

(6) So, for the 7.5% chance of me getting wet - I'll refer back to item #1.

Vrrrrrm Vrmmmm Vrmmmmmmm!
Your kidding...right?

Since when do FJR folk let rain stop them? I say ride!

 
The weather man is calling for a 60% chance of rain today. Is that enough to keep me off my bike? Let's look at the facts:
(1) I have a rain suit.

(2) A 60% chance of rain = a 40% chance of sun.

(3) The weather man is correct only 1/2 the time so there's really only a 30% chance of rain.

(4) The rain is hit or miss (50%) so depending on where I am I might not even see the rain so the actual chances of me getting wet are 30% x 50% = 15%.

(5) I'll be moving fast and everyone knows that it is difficult to hit a moving target so the rain that falls may never touch me. Hit or miss again so my new, improved, actual chance of getting wet is 15% x 50% = 7.5%.

(6) So, for the 7.5% chance of me getting wet - I'll refer back to item #1.

Vrrrrrm Vrmmmm Vrmmmmmmm!
And to think I told my son to stay away from the Southern States when looking for collages.

 
Well, I'm back. Barely got sprinkled on so I was right and the weather man was wrong. :yahoo: Of course, I never intended NOT to ride. Basically, if it isn't raining when I walk outside then I'm riding. I've got rain gear and over passes should a down poor begin.

We had a great ride. No GPS or maps. Just pointed in the general direction of our destination and headed out. We came back a different route which made it even more fun. It was cloudy most of the time but it never rained more than a few, much appreciated, drops.

 
Well, I pushed my luck with the weather man. My wife and I decided to go to dinner at the local Outback Steak House. We finished our meal just as the down pour began. It rained heavy with high winds and lightning for about 30 minutes. Then, light but steady rain for the next hour. It cleared out right at sun down and we saw a beautiful double rainbow (wow, I sound like a *****). We basically just set the rain out then continued on. Riding in the rain is doable. Riding in the rain in heavy metro Atlanta traffic at night is just plain stupid. I'm not stupid. :withstupidsmiley:

Ride safe and live to ride again.

 
Well, I pushed my luck with the weather man. My wife and I decided to go to dinner at the local Outback Steak House. We finished our meal just as the down pour began. It rained heavy with high winds and lightning for about 30 minutes. Then, light but steady rain for the next hour. It cleared out right at sun down and we saw a beautiful double rainbow (wow, I sound like a *****). We basically just set the rain out then continued on. Riding in the rain is doable. Riding in the rain in heavy metro Atlanta traffic at night is just plain stupid. I'm not stupid. :withstupidsmiley:
Ride safe and live to ride again.
That's not stupid, that's being smart. Rain is one thing, a frogsoaker is another.

The FJR handles great in the rain....

Mary

 
With the 'summer' were having in Northern Ontario, if you don't ride in the rain, you don't ride at all. I think in June we had 3 days with no rain. July wasn't much better.

That being said, I was supposed to be in NY and VT last week for the annual trek with the boys. I had to go to Port Elgin first to a party with my gf. Got up in the morning and checked the weather forecast for the Lake George area. Rain and thunderstorms for the next 4 days. Screw it, I bailed. I don't need to ride 2500km to get wet or sit in a hotel room.

I'm probably gonna get teased non-stop about my choice to bail, but screw that, free-will is a great thing.

 
90% chance of rain here in El Paso yesterday...the remnants of Hurricane Dolly were directly overhead.

I had to work. Decided to ride the bike and leave the truck at home. I Got rained on both going and coming.

I recorded 3.62" of rain at my house from the ALL day rain from Dolly...but I got to ride my bike!

 
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Yup. If I didn't ride in the rain, I would never get to ride...*L*
:lol:
My kinda girl! I may be out that way next summer, only if I can learn to deal with the prairies though, I'm of the hill people. The idea of wide open, flat and no shelter just gives me the willies.

 
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