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I love this. Semantic dry humping is always fun. I like a good epigram as much as the next guy, but the issue to me is relative risk. Those statistical and demographic niceties aside, I believe that when I operate a motorcycle, compared to my operating an automobile, I am more likely to get into an accident, all things being equal (the great modifier!). I also believe that when I operate a motorcycle, compared to my operating an automobile, once that accident happens, I am more likely to have more and graver injuries than if the same accident happened while operating the automobile; except, e.g., I don't wear a helmet when I drive to work in my car (maybe I should). The relative probabilities can be altered by my riding style, skill, experience, judgment, impairment, luck, mechanical condition of the vehicle, and on and on and on with endless permutations of things that heighten or lessen the "risk."As a person whose job includes implementing enterprise risk management ("ERM") projects at the Berkeley campus, I think about risk a lot. My musings about risk are fueled not only by a professional curiosity, but also by a natural curiosity, a symptom of which is a bachelors in philosophy from the same place I now work.
When civilians (non-riding friends and colleagues) learn that I ride, they often exclaim in some form or other how dangerous motorcycles are. To this I sometimes respond, depending on how weary I am in that moment about hearing another story about how their friend's brother was killed in a motorcycle accident (does everyone have a story like that? :glare: )--I sometimes respond that they are not inherently dangerous, but they are risky.
And I may even go so far, depending now on my interlocutor's appetite for hearing me go on and on about something they don't really care about but just wanted me to be sure I knew I was crazy--I may even go so far as to explain that the risk can be mitigated to a very acceptable level if the rider is willing to get training, make good decisions, never ride impaired, and wear appropriate gear. Of course to this I get back, "Well, my friend's brother was wearing a helmet." Sigh....
Anyway, this morning I was reading an article in which the person being interviewed mentions something called the Bluejacket's Manual given to people when they join the Navy. He said it has "two little quotes, like epigrams," one of which is "The sea is not inherently dangerous, but it is extremely unforgiving."
Whether such a manual exists (never heard of it myself, in spite or because of being the son of a Naval Academy graduate), and whether or not these quotes are in said book, I don't care. But I sure like that quote, which I shall now adopt as my standard reply when told by civilians that motorcycles are dangerous:
[SIZE=12pt][/SIZE]
Motorcycles are not inherently dangerous, but they are extremely unforgiving.
Photo courtesy of "Tom McQuiggan's Home Page" (https://www.mcqart.com/xj600/index.htm)
One can only ponder and imagine, SPU!Wow! That bad, huh?Post deleted.
Gunny that. I recommend Pat Hahn's Ride Hard, Ride Smart. He talks about the "three degrees of separation," which I think nails it:Without any statistics to back it up my intuitive sense is that a well trained rider wearing full gear is safer than many people in their car. I suspect of you could parse the motorcycle accident statistics and separate out that portion of the riding public that seriously works to mitigate the risk you'd find that motorcycles are no more and quite likely less than the norm for automobiles.
This entire thread is good reading. What is the possibility of new sub-forum devoted to topics like this? I know I have some stories to tell about close misses, direct hits, and lessons learned around the topic of staying alive on two wheels.. One factor never looked at due to the difficulty in gathering information is in cases a bike was able to avoid an accident by lane splitting , a quick swerve etc.
This entire thread is good reading. What is the possibility of new sub-forum devoted to topics like this? I know I have some stories to tell about close misses, direct hits, and lessons learned around the topic of staying alive on two wheels.. One factor never looked at due to the difficulty in gathering information is in cases a bike was able to avoid an accident by lane splitting , a quick swerve etc.
Looking at it that way, life is 100% fatal. There is no other way out.I always figured life was inherently dangerous, everything else was just gravy.
I don't have that book. What is a "soft lane change"?Gunny that. I recommend Pat Hahn's Ride Hard, Ride Smart. He talks about the "three degrees of separation," which I think nails it:Without any statistics to back it up my intuitive sense is that a well trained rider wearing full gear is safer than many people in their car. I suspect of you could parse the motorcycle accident statistics and separate out that portion of the riding public that seriously works to mitigate the risk you'd find that motorcycles are no more and quite likely less than the norm for automobiles.
1. Good traffic strategies to anticipate and avoid trouble.
2. If trouble comes, good bike handling skills (braking, swerving, accelerating) to get out of trouble.
3. If you go down, good gear.
He says, and I believe him, and it sounds like you do too, that if you practice his three degrees, you significantly lower your risk of injury. And BTW it was his recommended "soft lane change" from said book that saved my bacon.
It's the only way I change lanes now, whether on the freeway or city streets:I don't have that book. What is a "soft lane change"?
You signal, move to the outside of your lane, then cross the line, then move gradually to the center of your lane, then cancel your signal. In other words, you don't jump right into the center of the lane you're moving into, but gradually move into it. On the freeway it saves you from that aggressive driver coming up outta nowhere behind you at 100 MPH. You also have to be careful of drivers who move up to take your space in the lane you're moving out of.
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