SockMonkey
Makin' Some Noise
From this morning's e-edition of Dealer News: Harley-Davidson Seeking Federal Bank Bailout Funds
Uh, really..?? :blink:
Uh, really..?? :blink:
No hatin' here 'dot. Just can see the forest for the trees sometimes. They, The Motor Company©, has issues. Some of them are being inflicted by themselves and their dealers. They are still in the 290-300K bike range for annual sales. Their problem is credit. The much ballyhoo'd Harley© buyer who supposedly has cash to burn has apparently burned it. The RUBs and the Yuppies are gone. For the past three years about 20-25% of Harley-Davidson© buyers have been sub-prime borrowers. (People taking out 15+% loans to finance the motorcycle of their dreams that they can't afford.) Right now credit unions have better financing rates than The Motor Company© for the top three tiers of credit. So the dealers are giving them the "good" creditors. HDFS© will finance the next three tiers, who dealers will gladly steer the buyer towards. You know what that means, higher default rates on HDFS© paper. HDFS© can't find buyers for their current loan pools hence the government intervention. HDFS© finances about 55% of their sales now. So the risk is big for H-D© and HDFS©. I expect the dividend to come under pressure sooner than later. It's going to be a rough ride for the next 2 years or so. Hang on!Where's our friend from MN that hates harley and gives regular updates aboot them?
Sorry Marty, this just really got my blood boiling today (and not just because my H-D stock is down). Last Friday the FDIC came in and took over (closed down) the small commuity bank where my wife has worked for 11 years. Needless to say we lost $$$ as we had shares of stock, as did all other shareholders, in this case all local community business owners and people. Meanwhile the big banks and "lending companies" live high on the govenment HOG, pun intended. [RANT_OFF]From this morning's e-edition of Dealer News: Harley-Davidson Seeking Federal Bank Bailout Funds
Uh, really..?? :blink:
I knew we could count on you to contribute something intellectual to the conversation! :tease: :trinibob::****:
To each their own -
Ain't it the truth though -That is correct, york...however....noone in here seems to know that.
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CycleTrader, Manufacturer: Harley-Davidson Keyword: invested
406 matches last time I ran it. 09's already being hawked by those bottom tiers mentioned above.
Very interesting stuff. Please keep us updated as we watch this unfold.No hatin' here 'dot. Just can see the forest for the trees sometimes. They, The Motor Company©, has issues. Some of them are being inflicted by themselves and their dealers. They are still in the 290-300K bike range for annual sales. Their problem is credit. The much ballyhoo'd Harley© buyer who supposedly has cash to burn has apparently burned it. The RUBs and the Yuppies are gone. For the past three years about 20-25% of Harley-Davidson© buyers have been sub-prime borrowers. (People taking out 15+% loans to finance the motorcycle of their dreams that they can't afford.) Right now credit unions have better financing rates than The Motor Company© for the top three tiers of credit. So the dealers are giving them the "good" creditors. HDFS© will finance the next three tiers, who dealers will gladly steer the buyer towards. You know what that means, higher default rates on HDFS© paper. HDFS© can't find buyers for their current loan pools hence the government intervention. HDFS© finances about 55% of their sales now. So the risk is big for H-D© and HDFS©. I expect the dividend to come under pressure sooner than later. It's going to be a rough ride for the next 2 years or so. Hang on!
The other problem is the push into "non-tradtional" riders has been luke warm at best. It's still old guys with long beards and big beer bellys who are buying them at the core. H-D© is trying hard to address that issue.
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